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11.1 Ethical welfare judgmentsAs for poverty, we may wish to determine if the ranking of two distributions of income in terms of social welfare is robust to the choice of social welfare indices. Of course, one way to check such robustness would be to verify the welfare ranking of the two distributions for a large number of the many social welfare indices that have been proposed in the literature. This, however, would certainly be a tedious task. Besides, new social welfare indices can always be designed. A simpler and more powerful alternative is to apply tests of welfare dominance. Unlike for poverty, welfare dominance tests take into account the whole distributions of income, as opposed to just the censored distributions used for poverty comparisons. As for poverty dominance, there are two testing approaches, a primal (income-censoring) and a dual (percentile-truncating) one. The primal approach has the advantage of being applicable to any desired (however large) order of dominance, and uses curves of the well-known FGT indices for an infinite range of "poverty lines" or income censoring points. The dual approach is practically convenient only for first and second order dominance, but it uses curves that are graphically instructive and that have been documented extensively in the literature. As for poverty dominance, if, for first and second order dominance, a welfare ranking is obtained using one of these two testing approaches, the same ranking will be obtained using the other approach. In other words, the two approaches are equivalent in terms of their ability to rank distributions robustly over classes of first- and second-order social welfare indices. As for poverty dominance, for both of these approaches we will make use of classes of social welfare indices defined by the reactions of indices to changes in or reallocations of income. These social welfare indices do not need to be additive, but for expositional convenience assume that they are defined in the simple rank-dependent utilitarian format of W in (4.28):
The first-order class of social welfare indices regroups all of the symmetric (or anonymous) social welfare indices that are increasing in income. In terms of (11.1), this can be formulated as the class Ω1 with
The second-order class of social welfare indices regroups all of the first-order indices that are increasing in mean-preserving equalizing transfers. Recall that such transfers redistribute one dollar of income from a richer to a poorer person. These indices thus obey the Pigou-Dalton principle of transfers. Using (11.1) again, this suggests the class of Ω2 indices:
The third-order class of social welfare indices includes all of the second-order indices that further obey the transfer-sensitivity principle — requiring that equalizing transfers have a greater impact on social welfare when they occur lower down in the distribution of income. Expressed in terms of (11.1), this requirement forces ω(p) to be a constant and requires the concavity of individual utility functions to be decreasing in income. This suggests Ω3:
As hinted above on page 162, higher orders of classes can be defined analogously. Generally speaking, membership in a higher-order class of social welfare indices requires these indices to be more sensitive to the income of the very poor. Membership in Ωs implies membership in Ωs-1, and for s-order additive welfare indices, we also need that (-1)(i)U(i)(Q(p)) ≤ 0 for i=1,..., s. 11.2 Tests of welfare dominanceAs for poverty dominance, both primal and dual conditions can be used for testing first- and second-order welfare dominance. The two types of tests order social welfare on exactly the same class of indices. First-order welfare dominance The following conditions are equivalent:
First-order welfare dominance can thus be checked by verifying whether the headcount index is higher for A than for B for all poverty lines z. There is therefore a useful analogue between tests of poverty and welfare dominance. Ordering two distributions of incomes over the first-order class of social welfare indices can also be done by comparing the incomes of the two distributions over the entire range of percentiles. Graphically, it requires checking that "Pen's parade of dwarfs and giants" be everywhere higher in B than in A, whatever the percentiles being compared. The two distributions "parade" simultaneously alongside each other, and the distributive analyst observes if one parade dominates everywhere the other. A similar result can be stated for second-order welfare dominance. To see this, first recall the definition of the Generalized Lorenz curve GL(p) (see (4.44) on page 65):
The Generalized Lorenz curve sums all incomes up to quantile Q(p), and is therefore the cumulative Pen's parade. We then obtain: Second-order welfare dominance The following conditions are equivalent:
1DAD: Curves|Quantile.An exactly similar result applies for higher-order welfare dominance. As for poverty dominance, the dual conditions are less convenient and are omitted here. Higher-order welfare dominance The following conditions are equivalent:
Checking for s-order welfare dominance thus simply requires comparing the FGT indices for α = s - 1 over all possible poverty lines. 11.3 Inequality judgmentsAs for poverty and welfare dominance, we can define classes of relative inequality indices over which to check the robustness of the inequality orderings of two distributions of income. As we will see, these classes of inequality indices have properties which are analogous to those of the classes of social welfare indices. They react to income changes or income reallocations in a manner that depends on the order of the classes to which the indices belong. Unlike social welfare functions, however, relative inequality indices also need to be homogeneous of degree 0 in all income. This means that an equiproportionate change in all incomes will not affect the value of these relative inequality indices. Consider first the class
2DAD: Curves| Generalized Lorenz. The Pareto principle underlying The Pigou-Dalton principle will postulate that a mean-preserving transfer of income from a higher-income person to a lower-income person decreases inequality, whatever the income shares of those affected by this income reallocation. All of the inequality indices that belong to the class Those inequality indices that belong to the class Comparing the definitions of the classes Ωs and 11.4 Tests of inequality dominanceAs indicated above, checking for inequality dominance can be done most easily by using the welfare dominance conditions of Section 11.2 and normalizing incomes by their mean. For the primal dominance curves, we will thus need the normalized stochastic dominance curve
where c is as before a constant that we can ignore. Thus, estimating the normalized dominance curve at lμ and order s is equivalent to computing the normalized FGT index for a poverty line equal to lμ and for α equal to s - 1. Similarly, for dual dominance conditions, we may use the poverty gaps normalized by mean income:
This leads to: First-order restricted inequality dominance The following conditions are equivalent3:
Note that the condition Second-order inequality dominance The following conditions are equivalent4:
3 DAD: Dominance]Inequality Dominance. 4 DAD: Dominance|Inequality Dominance.
Testing for second-order inequality dominance can thus be done simply by comparing the usual normalized average poverty gap for A and for B for all possible proportions of the mean as poverty lines. An alternative equivalent test is that of comparing the Lorenz curves for A and B. This is the well-known and classical Lorenz test, which has long been considered the golden rule of relative inequality rankings. Dual conditions for higher-order (i.e., third-order) inequality dominance have also been proposed in the literature, but they are again less convenient to use than the primal conditions. A general s-order inequality dominance condition is then simply stated as: s-order inequality dominance The following conditions are equivalent 5:
11.5 Inequality and progressivityWe can combine some of the results derived above to what we saw in Chapter 7 on the measurement of vertical equity in order to link progressivity and inequality dominance. First, in the absence of reranking, it is clear that a tax and/or a transfer that is TR- or IR-progressive, will decrease all of the inequality indices that are members of
5 DAD: DominanceJInequality Dominance. Further, again in the absence of reranking, if a tax and/or transfer T1 is more IR-progressive than a tax and/or transfer T2 then T1 necessarily reduces inequality by more than T2 when inequality is measured by any of the inequality indices that belong to We may also be concerned about the impact of a tax and benefit system on the class of first-order inequality indices, viz, on those indices that are monotonic in some lower income shares, but not always monotonic in cumulative income shares. To check whether this impact reduces first-order inequality indices, we must check whether 11.6 Social welfare and Lorenz curvesIt often occurs that two income distributions A and B are compared using estimates of average income and inequality separately. Using second-order dual conditions, it is straightforward to combine these estimates to assess whether social welfare is greater in A than in B by noting from (4.44) that GL(p) = μL(p). Say that we dispose of the entire Lorenz curves of each of the two distributions. Figure 11.1 shows four cases of comparisons of average income and inequality across these two distributions. In Case 1, A Lorenz-dominates B, and it also has a higher average income. Hence, there is generalized-Lorenz-dominance of A over B, and we are therefore assured that WA - WB ≥ 0 for all W ε Ω2. In Case 2, A also dominates B according to the Lorenz criterion, but μA < μB; because of this, GLA(P) crosses GLB(p) and there can be no unambiguous second-order social welfare ranking. μA ≥ μB is indeed a necessary condition for welfare dominance of A over B for any order of dominance. Comparing the slopes of each of these two curves gives, however, the quantiles at various percentiles p. Since these quantiles are visibly larger in A than in B for a large lower range of p, A has less poverty than B for a large range of possible poverty lines and for many poverty indices. Case 3 depicts an ambiguous ranking of inequality across A and B. However, because μA is well above μB the Generalized Lorenz curve for A is above that for B. Finally, Case 4 shows a circumstance in which inequality and social welfare rankings clash. A has unambiguously less inequality than B according to the Lorenz criterion, but μA being significantly below μB has unambiguously less social welfare than B according to the generalized-Lorenz criterion and to second-order social welfare dominance. 11.7 The distributive impact of benefitsThe impact of government benefits and transfers on the distribution of incomes can also be visualized using curves that are linked to the poverty, social welfare and inequality dominance curves. Say, for instance, that the expected benefit at rank p of some government program — or some economic change — is given by
with μB = GCB(1). In analogy to the Generalized Lorenz curve, we may call GCB(p) a Generalized concentration curve. GCB(p) shows approximately the absolute contribution of the bottom proportion p of the population to the per capita benefits. The impact GCB(p) is only approximate since it ignores the possible reranking of individuals by the program. The concentration curve of the benefit up to rank p can then be defined as:
Recall that the concentration curve CB(p) at p gives the percentage of the total benefits that accrue to those with initial rank p or lower. Using CB(p) and GCB(p) can help assess the distributive effect of the program. For instance:
11.8 Pro-poor growthAssessing whether distributional changes are "pro-poor" has become increasingly widespread in academic and policy circles. We will see that it is relatively straightforward to use the tools developed above to make such an assessment. There are, however, two important issues that we must first discuss. The first issue is whether our pro-poor standard should be absolute or relative. This is equivalent to asking whether we should be interested in the impact of growth on absolute poverty or on relative inequality. It is indeed important to distinguish between expectations that growth should change the incomes of the poor by the same absolute or by the same proportional amount — these expectations are conceptually not the same, and their empirical realization also varies significantly. The second issue is whether pro-poor judgements should put relatively more emphasis on the impact of growth upon the poorer of the poor. This is equivalent to deciding whether our pro-poor judgements should obey higher-order ethical principles such as the Pigou-Dalton principle. We will consider two orders of pro-poor judgements: the first will obey the focus, the anonymity and the Pareto principles, and the second will also obey the Pigou-Dalton principle. 11.8.1 First-order pro-poor judgementsLet a distributive change entail a movement from a distribution X(p) to a distribution N(p), Let "income growth curves" be defined as the proportional change in income observed at various percentiles 6:
If the income-growth curve is positive everywhere over p ε [0, 1], then it is clear from the first-order welfare dominance results of page 183 that the change increases social welfare for all of the welfare indices that belong to Ω1. It is also clear from the first-order poverty dominance results of page 174 that the change decreases poverty for all of the poverty indices that belong to Π1(∞) (and thus for all those that obey the first-order — focus, Pareto and anonymity — ethical principles). This result is valid for any choice of poverty lines. A test with a greater chance to succeed is to check whether the income-growth curve is positive everywhere over p ε [0,FX(z+)]. If so, then the distributive change decreases poverty for all poverty indices P(z) that belong to Πl(z+). In such circumstances, the change can be called "absolutely pro-poor", in the sense that the poor benefit in absolute terms from the distributive change. We then have: First-order absolute pro-poor judgements The following statements are equivalent:
Income growth curves can also be used to test whether a distributive change is "relatively pro-poor", in the sense that the change increases the incomes of the poor at a faster rate than that of the incomes of the rest of the population. For that purpose, we only need to compare the income growth curve g(p) at various percentiles to the growth in mean income. If the income growth curve at all p ε [0,F(z+)] is higher than the growth in mean income, then the change can be said to be first-order relatively pro-poor. An exactly equivalent test can be done by comparing the normalized quantiles for the initial and posterior incomes — recall that normalized quantiles
6 DAD: Curves|Pro-Poor. First-order relative pro-poor judgements The following statements are equivalent:
11.8.2 Second-order pro-poor judgementsTesting for first-order pro-poor judgements can be demanding. It requires all quantiles of the poor to undergo a rate of growth that is either positive (for absolute judgements) or at least as large as the growth rate in average income (for relative judgements). We may want to relax this on the basis that a large rate of growth for the poorer among the poor may sometimes be deemed ethically sufficient to offset a low rate of growth for some percentiles of the not-so-poor. This therefore says that pro-poor judgements could give greater weight to the growth experience of the poorer among the poor. Implementing this is done by forcing pro-poor judgements to obey the Pigou-Dalton principie. Second-order absolute pro-poor judgements The following statements are equivalent:
Recall that the cumulative income up to rank p is given by the Generalized Lorenz curve. Denote its proportional change by 7
A sufficient condition for a second-order absolute pro-poor change is then that the growth in cumulative incomes be positive:
As for first-order pro-poor judgements, we may wish second-order judgements to require that the incomes of the poor at least keep up with those of the rest of the population. This yields: Second-order relative pro-poor judgements The following statements are equivalent:
If the above conditions hold for z+ = ∞, then the change also reduces all of the inequality indices that are members of A sufficient condition for second-order relative pro-poorness can also be implemented by comparing the growth in the cumulative incomes of the poor to the growth in average income. If, for all p lower than F(z+), the percentage growth in the cumulative incomes of a bottom proportion p of the population is larger than the percentage growth in mean income, then the change can be said to be second-order relatively pro-poor:
Income growth curves and cumulative income growth curves may also be used to assess the impact of a distributive change on relative poverty. The procedure is similar to that of checking whether the change is pro-poor — we compare income growth for the poor to the growth of some central tendency of the income distribution. One difference with the measurement of pro-poor growth is that the central tendency of interest may be some quantile (such as median income) if the relative poverty line is set as a proportion of that quantile
7 DAD: Curves|Pro-Poor. 11.9 ReferencesMethods for establishing inequality dominance surprisingly predate those for establishing welfare dominance in welfare economics. The seminal works are those by Atkinson (1970), Dasgupta, Sen, and Starret (1973) and Kolm (1969) for inequality dominance, and Shorrocks (1983) and Foster and Shorrocks (1988c) for welfare dominance. Foster and Shorrocks (1988a) explore the links between relative poverty and relative inequality dominance (see also Davidson and Duclos 2000 and Formby, Smith, and Zheng 1999). Welfare economists have made extensive use of the literature on the ranking of distributions under risk aversion — see among many others Fishburn and Vickson (1978), Pratt (1964), Whitmore (1970) and Yitzhaki (1982b). Descriptions and theoretical foundations of dual stochastic dominance tools can be found inter alia in Pen's parade of "dwarfs and giants" (Pen 1971, Chapter 3), in Yaari (1987), in Moyes (1999) (for links with Lorenz curves), and in Davies and Hoy (1995) and Muliere and Scarsini (1989) (for when Lorenz curves intersect). Empirical tests for inequality and welfare dominance are numerous; they include inter alia Bishop, Formby, and Smith (1991d) (Lorenz dominance in the US), Bishop, Chow, and Formby (1991b) (first-order and truncated dominance), Bishop, Formby, and Thistle (1991e) (Pen or "rank" dominance), Bishop, Formby, and Smith (1991c) (Lorenz dominance across 9 countries), Bishop, Formby, and Thistle (1992) (convergence of US regional distributions), Bishop, Formby, and Smith (1993) (welfare and inequality dominance using LIS data), Chen, Datt, and Ravallion (1994) (comparisons of 44 less developed countries), Gouveia and Tavares (1995) (Portuguese distributions), Makdissi and Groleau (2002) (Canadian distributions), Ravallion (1992) (Indonesia), Sahn and Stifel (2002) (applied to nutritional data), and Wang, Shi, and Zheng (2002) (comparing inequality and social welfare in China). Numerous methods and indices have been proposed recently for assessing whether distributive changes are pro-poor. See, for instance, McCulloch and Baulch (1999) for the difference between a post-change poverty headcount with that headcount which would have occurred if all had gained equally; Kakwani, Khandker, and Son (2003) for a "poverty equivalent growth rate" which computes (using estimates of poverty elasticities) the growth rate that would have been needed to achieve some poverty change without a change in the distribution of relative incomes, and then compares that growth rate to the growth rate in mean income; Kakwani and Pernia (2000) for a pro-poor index given by the ratio of the actual change in poverty over the change that would have been observed under distributional neutrality, and then compares its value to 1; Dollar and Kraay (2002) for a comparison of the growth rate in average income to the growth rate in the incomes of the lowest quintile; Ravallion and Chen (2003) for a comparison of the growth rate in average income to a "population weighted" average growth rate of the initially poor percentiles of the population — this can also be done using the area underneath the income growth curve g(p) defined in (11.11); Klasen (2003) for a comparison of the growth rate in average income to "population" and "poverty weighted" average growth rates; Essama-Nssah (2004) for the use of an ethically-flexible weighted average of individual growth rates that does not make use of poverty lines; Datt and Ravallion (2002) for an example of the popular use of growth elasticities of poverty measures; and Son (2004) for a "poverty growth curve" that displays the growth rate in the mean income of a bottom proportion p of the population — the cumulative income growth curve G(p) of (11.12) — and compares it to the growth rate in mean income. Figure 11.1: Inequality and social welfare dominance
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